Can Bryson make a hole in one

betting on anything

If you havent seen it by now Bryson Dechambeau is attempting a challenge where he hits a flop shot over his house and onto his backyard green. Went from the most hated person in golf to everyones favorite youtuber, hell of a turn around tbh not sure why he got so much hate in the first place. Same length clubs deserves some hate but anyways back to the bet. Every day he increases his chances by hitting one additional ball. He is currently on day 15.

Since its almost 2025 surely we are gambling on everything right? So our favorite predictions market site has a wager on Bryson’s challenge. Currently a 26% chance to make a hole in one with 51 shots left. 16+17+18 *counters fingers carry the 1* yep 51 golf shots.

For people who like to bet on everything from is AOC pregnant or will Hezbollah launch 100 missiles into Israel we can research on twitter because everyones becomes an expert instantly during times of social opinions. Lucky for us we can rely on our boy Lou the golf stat pro

So assuming a hole in one being 1 / 175 not sure where he gets this from maybe the distance. His probability by friday would be 37.5% so the current market would be undervalued and Lou should mortgage his home.

He has taken 120 shots so far and 2 have hit the flag pin. What does that mean idk not sure yet but lets take a look at a majority of the shots.

Using days 5-15 we can graph all of his shots and I realize there are only 9 pictures above. Now using some advanced proprietary machine learning models (chatgpt) we can graph the balls on the green so it looks nice.

Now my dad would always say “you cant make it in the hole if you dont make it passed the pin” and its true.

40 of brysons 110 36% here don’t make it past the pin. thats not great

Lets ask claude intern what they think

interesting to note the success rate so far is 0%… *takes notes*

2 things are important here, the slope of the green and the amount of comments. Slope of the green suggests the sweet spot is going to be to the left of the pin, but if you look back in the videos he creates a good amount of left spin on the ball which I guess is typical out of right handed golfers. Strange I don’t seem to get any spin on my wedge. If I had to guess the best chance is if he lands it in the green zone.

Yellow circle represents 29 shots 26%

Green circle represents 11 shots 10% (did that one mental math)

And 44/110 shots come come within roughly 3 feet

and update he made it proof of shot, guess i was spot on about where it needed to land so thats cool I guess

shit, I want that hour back